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Anatomy of the BearLessons from Wall Street's four great bottomsby Russell Napier ISBN: 1906659354 ISBN-13: 9781906659356 Format: Hardback Pages: 328 Published: 7th July 2009 Edition: Updated RRP: £24.99 |
How does one spot the bottom of a bear market? What brings a bear to its end?
There are few more important questions to be answered in modern finance. Financial market history is a guide to understanding the future. Looking at the four occasions when US equities were particularly cheap - 1921, 1932, 1949 and 1982 - Russell Napier sets out to answer these questions by analysing every article in the "Wall Street Journal" from either side of the market bottom.
In the 70,000 articles he examines, one begins to understand the features which indicate that a great buying opportunity is emerging.
By looking at how markets really did work in these bear-market bottoms, rather than theorising how they should work, Napier offers investors a financial field guide to making the best financial provisions for the future.
This new edition includes a brand new preface from the author.
Acknowledgements
Foreword: Marc Faber
Prologue, 2007
Preface, 2009
Introduction
Part I August 1921
The road to August 1921
The course of the Dow - 1896-1921
Living with the Fed - A whole new ball game (I)
Structure of the market in 1921
The stock market in 1921
The bond market in 1921
At the bottom with the bear - Summer 1921
Good news and the bear
Price stability & the bear
Liquidity and the bear
The bulls and the bear
Bonds and the bear
Part II July 1932
The road to July 1932
The course of the Dow - 1921-29
Living with the Fed - A whole new ball game (II)
The course of the Dow - 1929-32
Structure of the market in 1932
The stock market in 1932
The bond market in 1932
At the bottom with the bear - Summer 1932
Good news and the bear
Price stability and the bear
Liquidity and the bear
The bulls and the bear
Bonds and the bear
Roosevelt and the bear
Part III June 1949
The road to June 1949
The course of the Dow - 1932-37
The course of the Dow - 1937-42
The course of the Dow - 1942-46
The course of the Dow - 1946-49
Structure of the market in 1949
The stock market in 1949
The bond market in 1949
At the bottom with the bear - Summer 1949
Good news and the bear
Price stability and the bear
Liquidity and the bear
The bulls and the bear
Bonds and the bear
Part IV August 1982
The road to August 1982
The course of the Dow - 1949-68
The course of the Dow - 1968-82
Structure of the market in 1982
The stock market in 1982
The bond market in 1982
At the bottom with the bear - Summer 1982
Good news and the bear
Price stability and the bear
Liquidity and the bear
The bulls and the bears
Bonds and the bear
Conclusions
- Strategic
- Tactical
- Then and now
Epilogue: Russell Napier, 2007
Bibliography
Table of figures
| Russell Napier is a consultant with CLSA writing on issues affecting global equity markets. After studying law, he began his investment career at Baillie Gifford in Edinburgh managing funds in the Japanese, then the US and finally the Asian markets. Moving to London he was responsible for managing Asian portfolios. In 1995 he relocated to Hong Kong to become the Asian strategist for CLSA. He occupied that position full time until 1999 during which he was ranked number one for Asian strategy in all major industry polls. Since 1999, apart from fulfilling a consultancy roll for CLSA, Russell has created and established a new course called A Practical History of the Financial Markets which is taught through Edinburgh Business School. | ![]() |
More about Russell Napier
Scottish IT brings in author of Anatomy of the Bear
- FTAdviser, Financial Times
1st December 2009
Insight: Crisis leads to conflict
- Russell Napier, Financial Times
7th October 2009
People are going to realize how resilient cash flows have been in a bad recession. Buyers usually have to finance some kind of debt and cash flow is king. We are not going back to the silly days where anyone could raise billion-dollar deals but we are going to see M&A. For businesses with strong balance sheets, this is a great time to buy.
- Russell Napier, Bloomberg
21st September 2009
Investment Advice: Differentiate, Select, Amplify. Repeat.
- Seeking Alpha
30th August 2009
The euro feels the strain
- Merryn Somerset Webb, Financial Times
21st August 2009
RBS uber-bear issues fresh alert on global stock markets
- Telegraph
12th August 2009
Dangerous to remain in cash currently
- CNBC-TV18
6th August 2009
Stock markets: we're a long way from 'revulsion' yet
- MoneyWeek
10th July 2009
Capital markets have pulled in for a pit-stop
- Allianz
8th July 2009
Where to find sound investments
- MoneyWeek
1st July 2009
'Dangerous Time' to Avoid Stocks, CLSA's Napier Says
- Bloomberg
25th June 2009
Get ready for inflation
- Russell Napier, Financial Times
19th June 2009
Post-crisis riches ahead for East Asia
- Asia Times online
19th June 2009
Cataclysm postponed, temporarily
- Richard Beddard, Interactive Investor
21st May 2009
Best brace for a W-shaped recession
- John Authers, Financial Times
17th May 2009
Tain't no big thing, the toll of the bell
- Matthew Vincent, Financial Times
8th May 2009
Russell Napier, author of Anatomy of the Bear, tells John Authers that a rise in Treasury yields will cause a 'cataclysimic bear market' within 2 years.
- Financial Times
7th May 2009
Scrutineer: Upbeat news? I must lie down
- Bill Jamieson, The Scotsman
4th May 2009
Grounds for optimism (FT column)
- Jonathan Davis
24th April 2009
well worth a read
- MoneyWeek
14th April 2009
I recommend readers pick up the book and read it for themselves
- Seeking Alpha
14th April 2009
12 Steps to Recovery: How to spot a market bottom
- Citywire
31st March 2009
a highly respected history of bear markets
- Financial Times
25th March 2009
Slump Humbling Blue-Chip Stocks
- Jack Healy, New York Times
6th March 2009
US market performance
- Lex, Financial Times
4th January 2009
Russell Napier's definitive book Anatomy of the Bear
- Financial Times
3rd January 2009
Q Ratio Signals 'Horrific' Market Bottom, CLSA Says
- Bloomberg
10th December 2008
Russell Napier appeared on BBC's Newsnight
7th October 2008
Difficulties in identifying breed of bear markets
- Financial Times
12th July 2008
Is it too early to jump back into the market?
- The Sunday Times
29th June 2008
Why this superbear is a long way from bottom
- Money Week
20th June 2008
Bear bottom: Is this the right time to buy?
- The Economist
8th June 2008
the lessons of this book should be of interest to the far-sighted investor
- Investors Chronicle
March 2008
an excellent read
- Dr. Marc Faber
16th April 2006
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